Updated on 11.12.2024
With Donald Trump's new presidency, changes to US visa regulations are very likely. We venture an outlook.
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With the upcoming second term of Donald Trump, which begins on January 20, 2025, experts expect significant changes to US entry regulations and, in particular, to the granting of US work visas. It can be assumed that the Trump administration will act quickly and be well prepared with new legislative changes and regulations in order to take up the measures from Trump's first term in office. Numerous presidential proclamations and executive orders could be issued as early as the day of the inauguration.
We summarize below what travelers to the USA can expect. Whether and if so, which measures will take effect is still difficult to predict at present.
Possible travel restrictions are a key issue. Trump has repeatedly stated that he wants to introduce US entry bans and tighter security checks at US consulates and border posts.
It is likely that the list of (primarily Muslim) countries affected by the travel bans from his first term in office – including Chad, Iran, Libya, North Korea, Somalia, Syria and Yemen – could be continued or even expanded in his second term.
Citizens of the affected countries who have US visas are advised to return to the United States before Trump takes office in order to avoid entry difficulties or bans.
The introduction of new travel restrictions and the intensification of existing controls could also lead to longer processing times for visa applications – particularly for certain nationals. At the same time, a higher rejection rate could be expected due to stricter checks at US consulates and US ports of entry.
For US work visas such as H-1B visas, L-1 visas and E visas stricter checks are to be expected. It is assumed that the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS), the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) and the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) will carry out more intensive inspections. The following could be particularly affected
for H-1B and L-1 visas.
Under the new administration, the "Buy American and Hire American" policy could also be re-emphasized with the aim of limiting legal (labor) immigration and promoting the employment of US citizens. This would entail stricter scrutiny or increased requests for evidence (RFEs) and higher rejection rates for work visas, which is likely to affect companies in the United States that rely on skilled foreign workers in particular.
In the first term of office, for example, e-visa applications at the US consulate were already subject to much stricter verification, particularly with regard to the need to deploy staff. And the aforementioned RFE rate for L-1 application procedures via the USCIS increased significantly, which led to application delays.
The granting of H-1B visas will probably be more strictly regulated and there could be stricter requirements for obtaining an H-1B visa.
There is speculation that the newly introduced H-1B Visa Renewal Pilot Program could be suspended during Trump's second term in office, and with it the planned expansion of the program to other visa categories. The purpose of this was the option of renewing visas directly within the USA, also in order to relieve the burden on US consulates worldwide. This could have a direct impact on visa renewals and lead to further delays in the visa application process.
Another topic is the Interview Waiver Program which was introduced to speed up the visa application process. Under the new administration, it is expected that the postal visa application process could be increasingly restricted or even suspended. This would lead to longer waiting times for visa appointments and an increased burden on US consulates.
Simplified procedures, such as joint submission and the Premium Processing for I-129 and I-539 applications, could be restricted.
This would considerably increase the administrative effort and lead to longer processing times.
Also under discussion is the possible abolition of the L2S and E2S regulations for accompanying spouses of holders of certain US work visas. This would make it necessary to (re)apply for an independent general work permit (EAD), which would entail longer processing times.
A restriction of the F-1 OPT program is also up for discussion.
Furthermore, a renewed introduction of the Public Charge Rule for immigrant visa categories (IV) and nonimmigrant visa categories (NIV) could lead to further complexity in the application process.
A return to stricter guidelines can be expected under the new Trump administration. This could include the repeal of the rule that allows USCIS officers to take into account previous (application) approvals, for example for L-1 extensions. This would mean that USCIS officers would have to re-evaluate applications without considering previous approvals, which could likely lead to more Requests for Evidence (RFE) and denials, even if workers are employed long-term with the same employer.
As already mentioned, a significant increase in RFEs is to be expected from the USCIS. This is likely to significantly increase the administrative burden for companies with locations in the USA, as additional documents and evidence will have to be submitted. At the same time, the processing times for USCIS petitions will be longer, which could affect both planning security and the timely recruitment of foreign skilled workers. In a worst-case scenario, increased RFEs could lead to a higher rejection rate, presenting companies with additional challenges, particularly when it comes to filling critical positions with qualified international professionals.
In addition, a reduction in staff at the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) is expected, which is likely to lead to delays in the processing of applications. Additional requirements, a possible reduction in staff and an increasing workload are likely to lead (once again) to delays in procedures and a backlog of USCIS applications.
Another key issue is the announced deportation initiatives aimed at people without a valid US residence permit.
Furthermore, numerous humanitarian programs, such as DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) and TPS (Temporary Protected Status Program), could either be discontinued or not extended.
Finally, a continuation and expansion of the strict vetting measures under the Extreme Vetting Program cannot be completey excluded. This could lead to more thorough monitoring of biometric and biographic data, information flows and increased exchanges with foreign law enforcement and intelligence agencies. Security measures and controls overseen by U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and other related US agencies could also be increased.
With the possible introduction of stricter US immigration regulations, companies need to consider several aspects when their employees apply for US visas or enter the United States. Here are some basic recommendations to help you make the process go smoothly:
Companies should prepare for the potential changes at an early stage and react flexibly to new requirements. How, when and in what form which measures will take effect is not yet foreseeable. As mentioned, there were already significant hurdles in the visa application process during Donald Trump's first presidency, but the majority of applicants were still able to obtain a visa if they were well prepared.
We provide our customers with advice and support in order to successfully overcome potential challenges.
Donald Trump's second term as US president is expected to bring significant changes to the visa application process. Companies that rely on international skilled workers in particular will have to prepare for
when it comes to issuing US visas. It is to be expected that the increased security measures, the introduction of new entry restrictions and the abolition of simplified procedures could make it more difficult to apply for a visa and enter the United States.
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